“We’re setting the tone and the message for these events.” You’re really trying to make sure that what you’re saying is clear, it makes sense and it gets the most important points across because whatever goes in those discussions is not just going to be read by people, it’s going to be amplified and echoed by you guys in the media, or their users,” said Berg. “When you’re writing those discussions, so many people are going through them with a fine-tooth comb, to get the messages. He knows the forecasts he makes have a tremendous impact on the decisions of everyday people and how the impacts are interpreted. Landfall can occur within a large area just based on the hurricane’s angle of approach to the coast,” Berg explained.īerg has been a forecaster at the hurricane center for 20 years. “The track forecasts, in this case, were a little more challenging.īut that type of forecast is always tough when you have a storm essentially paralleling a coastline. They knew this storm would become a major hurricane in the Gulf - and it did. Harvey takes the number one AND two spots for the two days of rain that fell on Texas in 2017.īerg explained that for Ian, their confidence in the storm’s intensity was very high. Ian ranks third when it comes to the amount of rain that fell within a tropical system. The size and power of this storm pushed a wall of water into the vulnerable, low-lying coast of Southwest Florida - and was quite far-reaching, away from where the eye came onshore.Īnd the rain that accompanied this slow-moving storm was historic. With Ian, it’s clear that the impacts were the storm surge and rain. “We’re really trying to clear the message to what’s really most important, despite if the cone is shifting a little bit or speeding up or slowing down, you know? What is it that most people really need to be paying attention to with the storm?” What’s your risk of getting heavy rain? Or, what’s your risk of getting a strong wind or storm surge?” Berg said. With Ian, as with many storms, the impacts are felt well beyond the center.
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